Imagine that voting is closed in Florida, states are starting to report early voting figures, and it looks like former Vice President Joe Biden is coming to the fore. An hour later, Pennsylvania counties begin reporting and it appears to be a dunk Islamist for US President Donald Trump.
Don’t be fooled, voting experts and academics say. The initial counting of votes in highly competitive, military areas could greatly mislead the election due to the increase in postal or non-postal ballot papers, and the various methods being considered.
A country that counts postal ballots before election day may give Biden a chance to lead early, as early voting votes and details suggest that those votes favor Democrats. On the other hand, states that do not include postal votes by November 3 are likely to run for Trump.
These so-called red or blue lumps will disappear as more votes are counted, although experts say it could take days or even weeks to process a large number of incoming votes, encouraged by voters who want to avoid overcrowded polling stations due to the COVID-19 epidemic.
“Be patient,” said Gerry Cohen, a member of the Wake County North Carolina Electoral Board. “You need to count all the votes, and that will take time.”
Here’s what to expect in one of the most contested regions that will decide the next U.S. president.
GREEN TEST IN FLORIDA AND NORTH CAROLINA
Florida and North Carolina allow election officials to begin processing and counting ballot papers weeks before election day, and the results of this count are expected to be released as soon as voting closes on November 3.
If both states follow that plan, Biden may seem to be at the forefront, as a recent Ipsos poll shows that people who have already voted in Florida and North Carolina support the Democratic challenge by more than 2-to -1 a limit on the president.
In both states, the majority of people who plan to vote in person on Election Day support Trump.
Blue mirage is not expected to last long in any situation. Experts say they expect Florida and North Carolina to finish counting most of their postal and in-person papers before the end of the night.
RED EXAMPLE IN RUTH’S BED
In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, postal ballots cannot be counted until election day. While Michigan recently passed a law allowing many cities to start processing mail-in, such as opening voting envelopes, the day before the election, they are unable to begin counting votes.
Because postal ballots take longer to count than actual ballots, preliminary results could upset Republicans. And then some experts say, expect a “blue turn” as election officials pass through piles of ballot papers.
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin may be reduced to a lack of knowledge about high postal voting volumes. About one in 20 votes in two states were cast by post in the 2018 congressional elections, compared to a quarter of Michigan and a third of Florida votes.
The counting of votes in Pennsylvania could continue for days. Democrats in the province recently won a victory in the U.S. Supreme Court. Allowing officials to receive postal votes for up to three days after the election as long as they are marked on November 3.
“One thing I’m ready for on election night is that Pennsylvania looks more like a Republic than it could be, whoever ends up winning the state,” said Kyle Kondik, a political analyst at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.
Wisconsin and Michigan ballots must arrive on election day, although trials are still pending on whether states should vote late if they are postponed to November 3.
EXPECT TO WAIT FOR ARIZONA
On the eve of the 2018 election, Arizona’s Martin McSally appeared on the road to victory in the U.S. Senate race, telling his supporters he would “sleep to win more than 14,000 votes.”
Six days later, McSally approved the race for Democrat Kyrsten Sinema as election officials garnered hundreds of thousands of votes, including many from the major Democratic-based cities of Phoenix and Tucson given to polling stations on Election Day.
Arizona authorities said they hoped it would take less time to count the votes this year as Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, upgraded its equipment and added an extra week to handle early mail voting. But if the race is near, it may take days to count the votes.
That could be “an indication of things going the way they should have been done,” C. Murphy Hebert, spokesman for Arizona State Secretary. “The process is complex, and we can invite people to be patient.”